Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000623 0.000708 0.000797 0.000899 0.001011 0.001130 0.001267
2025-12-14 0.000484 0.000600 0.000731 0.000889 0.001074 0.001282 0.001532
2025-12-21 0.000404 0.000532 0.000683 0.000873 0.001104 0.001373 0.001707
2025-12-28 0.000361 0.000501 0.000672 0.000895 0.001175 0.001510 0.001937
2026-01-04 0.000324 0.000471 0.000657 0.000908 0.001230 0.001626 0.002142
2026-01-11 0.000286 0.000435 0.000630 0.000901 0.001257 0.001705 0.002302
2026-01-18 0.000254 0.000403 0.000605 0.000892 0.001281 0.001778 0.002453
2026-01-25 0.000232 0.000383 0.000594 0.000900 0.001324 0.001876 0.002637
2026-02-01 0.000210 0.000361 0.000578 0.000901 0.001356 0.001959 0.002803
2026-02-08 0.000184 0.000329 0.000545 0.000874 0.001348 0.001987 0.002895
2026-02-15 0.000162 0.000303 0.000518 0.000853 0.001346 0.002021 0.002995
2026-02-22 0.000147 0.000285 0.000502 0.000848 0.001365 0.002085 0.003135
2026-03-01 0.000133 0.000270 0.000489 0.000846 0.001388 0.002155 0.003288
2026-03-08 0.000119 0.000252 0.000470 0.000835 0.001399 0.002207 0.003416
2026-03-15 0.000106 0.000234 0.000451 0.000820 0.001402 0.002248 0.003529
2026-03-22 0.000101 0.000230 0.000453 0.000841 0.001459 0.002369 0.003758
2026-03-29 0.000095 0.000223 0.000451 0.000853 0.001503 0.002470 0.003961
2026-04-05 0.000086 0.000211 0.000438 0.000846 0.001517 0.002527 0.004100
2026-04-12 0.000078 0.000199 0.000424 0.000838 0.001528 0.002580 0.004234
2026-04-19 0.000073 0.000192 0.000420 0.000846 0.001565 0.002671 0.004426
2026-04-26 0.000067 0.000184 0.000413 0.000846 0.001590 0.002745 0.004593
2026-05-03 0.000059 0.000169 0.000391 0.000821 0.001570 0.002750 0.004655
2026-05-10 0.000052 0.000156 0.000373 0.000801 0.001558 0.002765 0.004734